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L. ROBIN KELLER Professor |
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L. ROBIN KELLER Professor |
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Research Interests
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Publications
Creative Problem Structuring Papers 1, 6, 21, 28, 32 & 51
Cross-Cultural Decision Making Papers 19 & 20
Fairness in Decision Making Papers 5, 15, 19, 20 & 30
General Decision Analysis Papers 29, 34 & 35
Medical Decision Making Papers 13, 16 (with 36), 18, 33 & 40
Multiple Attribute Decision Making Papers 13, 17, 21, 27, 28, 33, 40, 52-54
Probability Judgments & Ambiguity of Probabilities or Outcomes Papers 14, 24, 25, 26, 50, 51
Risk Analysis for Environmental, Health, and Safety Risks Papers 5, 15, 16, 19-21, 23, 28, 30, 33, 48, 49, 52-54
Time Preferences and Discounting Papers 22, 23 & 48
Utility Models and Models of Risk Papers 1-4, 7-12, 31 & 52
Articles
1. L. Robin Keller, "The Effects of Problem Representation on the Sure-Thing and Substitution Principles," Management Science, Volume 31, No. 6, June 1985, pp. 738-751. [Article]
2. L. Robin Keller, "An Empirical Investigation of Relative Risk Aversion," IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Volume 15, No. 4, 1985, pp. 475-482. [Article]
3. L. Robin Keller, "Testing the 'Reduction of Compound Alternatives' Principle," OMEGA, The International Journal of Management Science, Volume 13, No. 4, July-August, 1985, pp. 349-358. [Article]
4. L. Robin Keller, Rakesh K. Sarin, and Martin Weber, "Empirical Investigation of Some Properties of the Perceived Riskiness of Gambles," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Volume 38, August 1986, pp. 114-130.
5. L. Robin Keller and Rakesh K. Sarin, "Equity in Social Risk: Some Empirical Observations," Risk Analysis, Volume 8, No. 1, March 1988, pp. 135-146.
6. L. Robin Keller and Joanna Ho, "Decision Problem Structuring: Generating Options," IEEE Transactions on Systems, Man, and Cybernetics, Vol. 18, No. 5, September 1988, pp. 715-728. [Abstract] [Article]
7. Peter H. Farquhar and L. Robin Keller, "Preference Intensity Measurement," Annals of Operations Research, Vol. 19, 1989, pp. 205-217.
8. L. Robin Keller, "The Role of Generalized Utility Theories in Descriptive, Prescriptive, and Normative Decision Analysis," Information and Decision Technologies, Vol. 15, 1989, pp. 259-271.
9. L. Robin Keller, "Decision Research with Descriptive, Normative, and Prescriptive Purposes-Some Comments," Annals of Operations Research, Vol. 19, (volume on Choice Under Uncertainty edited by Peter Fishburn and Irving H. LaValle), 1989, pp. 485-487. Entire edited volume won 1991 Decision Analysis Publication Award from the ORSA Decision Analysis Special Interest Group.
10. Richard L. Daniels and L. Robin Keller, "An Experimental Evaluation of the Descriptive Validity of Lottery Dependent Utility Theory," Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Vol. 3, 1990, pp. 115-134.
11. Richard L. Daniels and L. Robin Keller, "Choice-Based Assessment of Utility Functions," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Vol. 52, 1992, pp. 524-543.
12. L. Robin Keller, Uzi Segal, and Tan Wang, "The Becker-de Groot-Marschak Mechanism and Generalized Utilized Theories: Theoretical Predictions and Empirical Observations," Theory and Decision, 34:83-97, 1993.
13. Stuart Eriksen and L. Robin Keller, "A Multi-Attribute Utility Approach to Weighing the Risks and Benefits of Pharmaceutical Agents,” Medical Decision Making, 1993; 13:118-125.
14. Joanna Ho and L. Robin Keller, "The Effect of Inference Order and Experience-Related Knowledge on Diagnostic Conjunction Probabilities," Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, 1994; 59: 51-74. [Abstract] [Article]
15. L. Robin Keller and Rakesh K. Sarin, “Fair Processes for Societal Decisions Involving Distributional Inequalities,” Risk Analysis, Vol. 15, No. 1 (February 1995), pp. 49-59.
16. Lauraine G. Chestnut, L. Robin Keller, William E. Lambert, and Robert Rowe, "Measuring Heart Patients' Willingness to Pay for Changes in Angina Symptoms," Medical Decision Making, January-March, Vol. 16, 1996, pp. 65-77.
17. L. Robin Keller and Craig W. Kirkwood, “The Founding of INFORMS: A Decision Analysis Perspective," Operations Research, 47 (1), January-February 1999, 16-28.
18. Young-Hee Cho, L. Robin Keller, and M. Lynne Cooper, "Applying Decision-Making Approaches to Health Risk-Taking Behaviors: Progress and Remaining Challenges," Journal of Mathematical Psychology, 43(2), June 1999, 261-285. [Abstract] [Article]
19. Wen-Qiang Bian and L. Robin Keller, “Chinese and Americans Agree on What Is Fair, but Disagree on What Is Best in Societal Decisions Affecting Health and Safety Risks,” Risk Analysis, 19 (3), 1999, 439-452. [Abstract] [Article]
20. Wen-Qiang Bian and L. Robin Keller, "Patterns of Fairness Judgments in North America and the People's Republic of China," Journal of Consumer Psychology, 8 (3), 1999, 301-320.
21. Monika I. Winn and L. Robin Keller, “A Modeling Methodology for Multi-Objective Multi-Stakeholder Decisions: Implications for Research," Journal of Management Inquiry, Vol. 10, No. 2, June 2001, 166-181. Awarded one of four finalists for the "Breaking the Frame Award" at Western Academy of Management meeting in March 2002 by the Journal of Management Inquiry for best paper of 2001. [Article]
22. L. Robin Keller and Elisabetta Strazzera, “Examining Predictive Accuracy Among Discounting Models,” Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Vol. 24, No. 2, 143-160, 2002. [Abstract] [Article]
23. Jeffery L. Guyse, L. Robin Keller and Thomas Eppel “Valuing Environmental Outcomes: Preferences For Constant or Improving Sequences,” recipient of finalist award in Decision Analysis Society of INFORMS Student Paper Competition. Organizational Behavior and Human Decision Processes, Vol. 87, No. 2, March 2002, 253-277. [Abstract] [Article]
24. Joanna L. Ho, L. Robin Keller, and Pam Keltyka, “Managers’ Variance Investigation Decisions: An Experimental Examination of Probabilistic and Outcome Ambiguity,” Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, 14, No. 4, 257-278, 2001. [Abstract] [Article]
25. Joanna L. Ho, L. Robin Keller, and Pam Keltyka, “Effects of Probabilistic and Outcome Ambiguity on Managerial Choices,” Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Vol. 24, No. 1, 47-74, 2002.
26. Joanna L. Ho, L. Robin Keller, and Pamela Keltyka, ”How Do Information Ambiguity and Timing of Contextual Information Affect Managers’ Goal Congruence in Making Investment Decisions in Good Times vs. Bad Times?” Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, 31 (Sept. 2005) 2, 163-186.
in
Books
27. S. David Brazer (George Mason University) and L. Robin Keller (in press), “A design research approach to investigating educational decision making. In A. Kelly (Ed.), Handbook of design research in mathematics, science and technology education (tentative title). Mahwah, NJ: Lawrence Erlbaum Associates. Revised version of “An Educational Decision Making Conceptual Framework: Combining a Multiobjective Multistakeholder Model with Design-Based Research, final version, Spring 2005. (Accepted to be published in a handbook volume on design research in education edited by Anthony (Eamonn) Kelly following GMU-NSF Knowledge Design Meeting, Santa Fe, Jan. 2003.)
28. Monika I. Winn and L. Robin Keller, “Harnessing Complexity, Idiosyncrasy and Time: A Modeling Methodology for Corporate Multi-Stakeholder Decisions,” in Donna J. Wood and Duane Windsor (eds.), International Association for Business and Society 1999 Proceedings of Tenth Annual conference held in Paris, France, June 1999, 482-487.
29. Stuart Eriksen and L. Robin Keller, "Decision Trees," in Saul I. Gass and Carl M. Harris (eds.), Encyclopedia of Operations Research and Management Science, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Hingham, MA, 1996, pp. 159-161; second "centennial" edition, 2001, pp. 202-205, ISBN 0-7923-7827-X.
30. Ivy Broder and L. Robin Keller, "Fairness of Distribution of Risks with Applications to Antarctica," in Barbara Mellers and Jonathan Baron (eds.), Psychological Perspectives on Justice: Theory and Application, Cambridge University Press, Ch. 14, pp. 292-312, 1993.
31. L. Robin Keller, "Properties of Utility Theories and Related Empirical Phenomena," in Ward Edwards (ed.), Utility Theories: Measurements and Applications, Kluwer, 1992 (hardback), pp. 3-23. (Also in paperback, 1993, Kluwer.)
32. L. Robin Keller and Joanna Ho, "Decision Problem Structuring," in Andrew Sage (ed.), Concise Encyclopedia of Information Processing in Systems and Organizations, Oxford, England: Pergamon Press, 1989, pp. 103-110.
33. L. Robin Keller and William E. Lambert, "Multiattribute Utility Modeling of Cardiac Health Effects from Carbon Monoxide Exposure," in Y. Sawaragi, K. Inoue, and H. Nakayama (eds.), Toward Interactive and Intelligent Decision Support Systems, Volume 2, 1987; in Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems series, Volume 286, Springer Verlag, Berlin, pp. 200-209.
34. L. Robin Keller and Moshe F. Rubinstein, "A Decision Model Framework for a Class of Societal Problems," in Applied Numerical Modeling: Proceedings of the Second International Conference, heldat the Madrid Polytechnic University, Spain, September 1978, ed. by E. Alarcon and C. Brebbia, Pentech Press, London, England, 1979, pp. 41-52.
35. Moshe F. Rubinstein, L. Robin Keller, and Edward A. Kazmarek, "Patterns of Problem Solving: A Campuswide Course at UCLA," in James Lubkin, ed., The Teaching of Elementary Problem Solving in Engineering and Related Fields, American Society for Engineering Education, One Dupont Circle, Suite 400, Washington, D.C., 1980, pp. 11-20.
Reports
36. Ralph L. Keeney, L. Robin Keller, Rakesh K. Sarin, Alan Sicherman, and Robert L. Winkler, "Analysis of Alternative National Ambient Carbon Monoxide Standards," 1982, Woodward-Clyde Consultants, project sponsored by the Environmental Protection Agency. Condensed in R.L. Keeney, R.K. Sarin, and R.L. Winkler, "Analysis of Alternative National Ambient Carbon-Monoxide Standards," Management Science, Vol. 30, No. 4, 1984, pp. 518-528.
37. Lauraine G. Chestnut, Steven D. Colome, L. Robin Keller, William E. Lambert, Bart Ostro, Robert D. Rowe, and Sandra L. Wojciechowski, "Heart Disease Patients' Averting Behavior, Costs of Illness, and Willingness to Pay to Avoid Angina Episodes," Final report for the Office of Policy Analysis, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, October 1988. Available on web at http://yosemite.epa.gov/EE/Epa/eed.nsf/pages/ourpublications select “Environmental Economics Report Inventory”, click on reports “downloaded”, search database for our report number EE-0010A.
38. United States Department of Energy Office of Reconfiguration, Technical Reference Report for Tritium Supply and Recycling, October 1995, Office of Reconfiguration, DP-25, US DOE, 1000 Independence Avenue, SW, Washington, D.C. 20585. Contributor to report under Decision Insights contract from DOE via Fluor Daniel, Irvine.
39. Dipayan Biswas,
Thomas Eppel, Jeffery L. Guyse and L. Robin Keller, “Assessing Preferences for
Environmental Decisions with Long-Term Consequences,” Final report for the
EPA/NSF STAR Partnership for Environmental Research, June 10, 2002.
http://www.gsm.uci.edu/~keller/research_reports.htm
40. “Distribution and Administration of Potassium Iodide in the Event of a Nuclear Incident,” Committee to Assess the Distribution and Administration of Potassium Iodide in the Event of a Nuclear Incident, Board of Radiation Effects Research, Division of Earth and Life Studies, National Research Council of the National Academies, National Academies Press, Washington, DC, www.nap.edu, 2004. (Keller served as the decision analyst on the committee of scientists.).
41. L. Robin Keller, "The Effects of Decision Problem Representation on Conformity with Utility Properties: An Empirical Investigation," doctoral dissertation, UCLA Graduate School of Management, September 1982. Available from University Microfilms International.
42. Jeffery L. Guyse and L. Robin Keller, Interfaces, May-June 1997, 27:3, pp. 106-107, review of Strategic Decision Making: Multiobjective Decision Analysis with Spreadsheets, Duxbury Press, Belmont, CA, by Craig W. Kirkwood.
43. Young-Hee Cho and L. Robin Keller, "Risky Choice," review of Bertrand Munier and Mark Machina (eds.), Models and Experiments in Risk and Rationality, Dordrecht, Netherlands, 1994, in Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, March 1997, Volume 10, No. 1, pp. 74-75.
44. Young-Hee Cho and L. Robin Keller, "Risky Business," review of John Geweke (ed.), Decision Making Under Risk and Uncertainty: New Models and Empirical Findings, Dordrecht, Netherlands, 1992, in Journal of Behavioral Decision Making, March 1997, Volume 10, No. 1, pp. 75-76.
45. L. Robin Keller, review of Decision Science and Social Risk Management, by M.W. Merkhofer, The Environmental Professional, vol. 10, 1988, pp. 176-177.
46. L. Robin Keller, review of Making Decisions, by D.V. Lindley, Interfaces, January-February 1987, pp. 135-137.
47. L. Robin Keller, review of Applied Decision Analysis, by Derek W. Bunn, Interfaces, September- October 1986, pp. 119-120.
48. Jeffery L. Guyse and L. Robin Keller, “Valuing Sequences of Lives Lost or Saved over Time: Evidence of Gain/Loss Asymmetry,” working paper at UCI Institute for Mathematical Behavioral Sciences MBS 03-09 (Keller) and California State Polytechnic University, Pomona (Guyse), 6-21-2003
49. Dipayan Biswas and L. Robin Keller, “The Effects of Peer Presence and Warning Signs on Beach-Goers’ Perceived Probabilities of Going in Polluted Beach Water: Implications for Public Policy Regulations,” Working paper, June 2003.
50. L. Robin Keller, Rakesh K. Sarin and Jay Sounderpandian, “An Examination of Ambiguity Aversion in Decisions Made by Dyads,” UCLA Decisions, Operations, and Technology Management Working Paper kell001, Feb. 2002: http://repositories.cdlib.org/anderson/dotm/kell001.
51. L. Robin Keller and Jeffery L. Guyse on decision problem structuring; generating possible events. (MBS Working paper 99-19)
52. Xiaona Zheng, Tianjun Feng, L. Robin Keller, and Dipayan Biswas on “Using a Time-weighted Approach to Measure Multiple Attribute Utility,” working paper Dec. 2005.
53. Tianjun Feng, L. Robin Keller and Xiaona Zheng on How to Teach Multiobjective Multistakeholder Decision Modeling.
54. Dipayan Biswas, Tianjun Feng, L. Robin Keller and Xiaona Zheng, Modeling Multiobjective Multistakeholder Perspectives for Environmental Problems: Two Huntington Beach Pollution Decisions.
55. S. David Brazer and L. Robin Keller, “Conceptual Framework for Multiple Stakeholder Educational Decision Making,” working paper, summer 2005.
56.
Tianjun Feng, L. Robin Keller,
Xiaona Zheng, “Home Depot in San Juan Capistrano: Multiple Objective
Multi-Stakeholder Decision,” recipient of finalist award, November 2005,
INFORMS Case Competition sponsored by INFORMS Forum on Education.
